Artículos
The outlook for the deficit: The calm before the storm
Autores:
Lago Peñas, Santiago
It will require a concerted effort to bring down Spain’s deficit and debt levels, involving higher annual reductions than those prior to the pandemic. However, it is not just the central government which needs to address this issue, with many regional governments facing financial challenges…
The Spanish housing market post COVID-19
While COVID-19 did lead to an initial correction in Spain’s housing market, costs of homepurchases have continued to rise, albeit with some differences across regions and type of housing. This has furthered a debate around housing affordability, including some misguided calls for rent controls.
Decoupling between non-performance and provisions
Surprisingly, Spain saw its banks’ non-performance ratio fall during the crisis alongside a significant provisioning effort. However, if banks are to absorb their pandemic-related losses by the end of 2022, they will need to step up their provisioning by 20-25% compared to 1Q2021 levels.
Forbearance patterns at Spanish banks: Impact of COVID-19
Autores:
Maudos, Joaquín
Government support measures such as the furlough scheme and payment moratoria have artificially held down a rise in Spanish banks’ NPL ratios. However, recent trends in forborne exposures relative to Spain’s previous performance and that of the eurozone average suggest NPLs could rise once these…
COVID-19 and its asymmetric impact in Spain by province: Recent trends and projections
The COVID-19 crisis in Spain has been marked by a triple asymmetrical impact in terms of timing, sector and region. While those sectors and regions hardest hit by the crisis should post strong growth, the recovery will likely be characterised by disparity across sectors and…