Macroeconomy

Macroeconomy

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Artículo

Geopolitical risks and the outlook for Spain’sgrowth cycle

The Spanish economy is expected to continue growing
faster than the eurozone in the coming years, although the
expansionary cycle is likely to lose momentum as some of its
recent drivers fade. A sustained increase in energy prices linked
to the Iran conflict represents the most immediate risk to this
baseline scenario.

Artículo

El ciclo expansivo ante los nuevos riesgos geopolíticos

Este trabajo examina la evolución reciente
de la economía española, que ha logrado
mantener un crecimiento superior al de la eurozona gracias al dinamismo de la demanda interna y al impulso demográfico.

Artículo

Spanish banks across the 2020–2025 rate cycle: Divergent margin drivers between SIs and LSIs

Six years of rate fluctuation reveal distinct asset-liability management strategies across
Spanish banks. Funding costs drove margin gains during tightening, while asset yields
regained primacy as rates normalised, with significant divergence between SIs and LSIs.

Artículo

Private investment: The weak link in Spain´s expansionary phase

Despite strong growth and unprecedented EU funding, private investment in Spain has
failed to recover to pre-pandemic levels, reflecting a persistent gap between the country’s favourable macroeconomic conditions and corporate investment behaviour. Heightened uncertainty and structural impediments have limited the crowding-in effects of public investment, weakening incentives for firms to commit capital despite supportive financing
conditions.

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