The ceasefire between the United States and Iran pushed oil and gas prices closer to
pre-conflict levels, easing inflationary pressures on the Spanish economy. However,
the withdrawal of fuel tax relief and persistently high services inflation mean that overall inflation will normalize more slowly than energy markets.
Este artículo analiza el impacto del alto el fuego en el Golfo Pérsico sobre la economía española, especialmente en la evolución de la inflación.
The conflict in the Middle East has renewed inflationary pressures in Spain through higher energy and commodity prices, further weakening a growth outlook already strained by rising trade tensions. Domestic demand remains strong for now, but a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz would push Europe closer to recession and inevitably also weigh on the Spanish economy.
El objetivo de este artículo es mostrar cómo el conflicto está incidiendo en la economía española y presentar previsiones para los próximos dos años en base a diferentes hipótesis, dando lugar a un escenario central y a otro de tensión prolongada.
