Perspectivas de inflación de la economía española
Este artículo analiza el impacto del alto el fuego en el Golfo Pérsico sobre la economía española, especialmente en la evolución de la inflación.
The impact of the Middle East conflict on the Spanish economy
The conflict in the Middle East has renewed inflationary pressures in Spain through higher energy and commodity prices, further weakening a growth outlook already strained by rising trade tensions. Domestic demand remains strong for now, but a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz would push Europe closer to recession and inevitably also weigh on the Spanish economy.
El impacto del conflicto en Oriente Medio en la economía española
El objetivo de este artículo es mostrar cómo el conflicto está incidiendo en la economía española y presentar previsiones para los próximos dos años en base a diferentes hipótesis, dando lugar a un escenario central y a otro de tensión prolongada.
Geopolitical risks and the outlook for Spain’sgrowth cycle
The Spanish economy is expected to continue growing
faster than the eurozone in the coming years, although the
expansionary cycle is likely to lose momentum as some of its
recent drivers fade. A sustained increase in energy prices linked
to the Iran conflict represents the most immediate risk to this
baseline scenario.