las previsiones están muy condicionadas por un elevado grado de incertidumbre, tanto en lo que se refiere a los mercados energéticos, como al riesgo geopolítico, la evolución de la economía china, el ritmo de subida de los tipos de interés oficiales o la respuesta de los mercados financieros a las emisiones de deuda pública.
Spanish GDP growth for this year has been revised upwards and is now forecast at a solid 4.5%. Within a context of high uncertainty, underpinned by geopolitical tensions, high energy prices and tighter monetary policy, downside risks are significant and economic weakness will be more tangible in 2023, with inflation possibly easing somewhat, though remaining stubbornly high over the projection period.
En este artículo, tras un breve repaso de las tendencias recientes, se presentan las perspectivas económicas hasta 2023.
Despite a weak start to the year and headwinds from high energy prices and double-digit inflation, Spain's prospects for the next few months remain favourable. However, after the end of the tourism season, the loss of consumers´ purchasing power along with more restrictive financial conditions and geopolitical risks mean growth is expected to slow considerably from the end of 2022.