Fernández, María Jesús

Spanish economic forecasts: 2024-2025

The Spanish economy is expected to grow by 2.5% in 2024 and another solid 1.8% next year, continuing to outpace the European average by a considerable margin. The favourable external competitiveness position is a key factor behind this performance; nonetheless, corporate and housing investment continue to lag pre-pandemic levels, undermining potential output, while the high structural public deficit increases vulnerability to geopolitical and financial risks.

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Spain’s household and non-financial corporate (NFC) accounts for 2023

Whereas in 2022, corporate income registered significant growth, nearly revisiting pre-pandemic levels, in 2023, it was household income that was more dynamic. By comparison with 2019, in nominal terms, the income gap between the non-financial corporate (NFC) and household sectors widened, revealing an incomplete recovery in the corporate segment compared to solid growth in household income.

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