CARGA_INICIAL20200528
Economic and political instability, both domestically and globally, have led to increased volatility in EU sovereign risk premiums, with France particularly affected. While the EU’s flexible fiscal rules offer temporary relief, long-term fiscal reforms are necessary to address underlying imbalances and return greater stability to EU sovereign debt markets.
Este artículo explora la reciente evolución de los diferenciales de deuda soberana de Francia y algunos países de la periferia europea frente a Alemania, y analiza los riesgos a medio plazo.
Looming ECB policy normalisation will likely lead to the rebalancing of relative prices for EMU peripheral sovereign debt. Nonetheless, improved economic fundamentals, the ECB’s commitment to preventing fresh episodes of financial fragmentation and favourable prospects for European integration should help reduce the risk of episodes of intense stress in the eurozone sovereign debt markets.
El cambio de tercio que se inicia en la política monetaria del BCE vendrá acompañado de un reequilibrio en el precio relativo de la deuda soberana de los países de la periferia.