Torres, Raymond

Housing markets ahead of the threat of recession

5 octubre 2022

Despite the drop in household income as a result of inflation, the housing market has remained dynamic due to its safe-haven appeal, pent-up savings and abundant financing. This atypical trend may, however, be reaching an inflection point in the face of changing monetary conditions; nonetheless, we are not looking at a market standstill or a major increase in non-performing loans but rather a sharp slowdown of the current expansionary cycle, with the main risk to this baseline scenario stemming from the macroeconomic effects of the energy crisis and a worsening geopolitical context.

How different EU Member States are dealing with the energy crisis

30 septiembre 2022

Policy responses across Europe to address the energy crisis have obvious similarities, but they also show some relevant differences. Dependencies on Russian gas and the health of public finances to provide state aid are two of several factors that are conditioning how EU Member States are responding individually to this challenge.

El mercado de la vivienda ante el cambio de ciclo económico

28 septiembre 2022

En un entorno cada vez más incierto, una de las principales incógnitas radica en el mercado de la vivienda. Se trata de una cuestión clave desde el punto de vista social y para la estabilidad financiera. El sector inmobiliario había tenido un comportamiento sorprendentemente pujante durante la pandemia, alentado por las perspectivas de recuperación y los bajos tipos de interés. Ahora que el riesgo de recesión es más patente se plantea la sostenibilidad de ese dinamismo, cuestión que se trata en el presente artículo.

Will the EU's energy plans work?

23 septiembre 2022

Policy preparations for Europe's most complicated winter are under way. EU countries have approved a number of measures in the last few weeks to guarantee energy supplies and support private consumers and businesses to cope with expensive bills.