Spanish GDP growth for this year has been revised upwards and is now forecast at a solid 4.5%. Within a context of high uncertainty, underpinned by geopolitical tensions, high energy prices and tighter monetary policy, downside risks are significant and economic weakness will be more tangible in 2023, with inflation possibly easing somewhat, though remaining stubbornly high over the projection period.
En este artículo, tras un breve repaso de las tendencias recientes, se presentan las perspectivas económicas hasta 2023.
Despite a weak start to the year and headwinds from high energy prices and double-digit inflation, Spain’s prospects for the next few months remain favourable. However, after the end of the tourism season, the loss of consumers´ purchasing power along with more restrictive financial conditions and geopolitical risks mean growth is expected to slow considerably from the end of 2022.
Although the recovery in Spanish GDP was somewhat less intense than initially expected
in 2021, the recovery in employment was noteworthy and stronger than anticipated. Against
that backdrop, two years after the onset of the pandemic, the financial health of Spain’s
households remains solid, whereas that of the corporate sector has somewhat deteriorated.