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CARGA_INICIAL20200609

Bank bond spreads after the Global Financial Crisis: From fragility to fundamental strength

Once seen as safer and cheaper than corporate debt thanks to its regulated profile and implicit government backing, since the 2008 financial crisis, bank-issued debt has carried a risk premium, driven by regulatory shifts, sovereign exposures, and profitability concerns. Recent improvements in capital generation, liquidity, and diversification suggest that the premium may no longer be justified on fundamental grounds.

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Interest rate risk hits central banks

The interest rate risk deriving from the mismatch between asset and liability maturities and/or repricing, which had spread across the US banking system one year ago, has now hit the central banks – with some reporting zero profit, or even losses in 2023. While this phenomenon is not expected to have implications for financial markets stability, there may be important implications related to fiscal policy and monetary policy settings going forward.

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